Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.103962 0.116893 0.131379 0.148922 0.169743 0.193855 0.224169
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.088070 0.105962 0.127968 0.157519 0.196953 0.248950 0.324823
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.076269 0.096571 0.123406 0.162580 0.220326 0.305922 0.450186
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.067314 0.088695 0.118618 0.165410 0.240555 0.364395 0.604423
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.060005 0.081595 0.113233 0.165606 0.256137 0.420269 0.784079
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053765 0.074973 0.107224 0.163194 0.266222 0.469577 0.981400
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050061 0.071548 0.105449 0.167162 0.288467 0.551044 1.316641
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045705 0.066524 0.100286 0.164025 0.295917 0.603658 1.622906
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042875 0.063584 0.098136 0.165920 0.314179 0.690419 2.141317
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039939 0.060135 0.094622 0.164474 0.324631 0.762284 2.710449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038006 0.058161 0.093450 0.167465 0.346370 0.879103 3.716350
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036453 0.056669 0.092946 0.171724 0.372671 1.028154 5.325906
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034451 0.054246 0.090484 0.171476 0.387711 1.152006 7.278075
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032958 0.052606 0.089353 0.174092 0.412081 1.334927 10.900082
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031594 0.051077 0.088264 0.176631 0.437466 1.549619 17.080766
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030284 0.049533 0.086963 0.178432 0.461502 1.787694 27.822352
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028900 0.047737 0.084948 0.178085 0.478496 2.012037 45.211921
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027428 0.045660 0.082131 0.175197 0.485729 2.190697 70.837606
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026651 0.044871 0.081995 0.179464 0.521699 2.628165 172.582044
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025350 0.042956 0.079210 0.175975 0.526113 2.837948 325.955128
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024547 0.041981 0.078424 0.178040 0.554776 3.324069 1241.967474
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023553 0.040553 0.076482 0.176444 0.567291 3.693497 6231.365205
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022945 0.039869 0.076187 0.179729 0.604033 4.448656 NaN